Weather Outlook for Monday February 1st
Chance of Severe: 30% West and SW Oklahoma
Chance of Winter Precip: 20% NW Oklahoma and Oklahoma Panhandle
There will be a strong Surface Low Pressure system affecting the State midday throughout the evening. The instability (CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy) is limited and moisture will not be in great supply. However, the possibility of Severe weather is there for portions of Western and SW Oklahoma during the afternoon. Tornado threat is not 0 but is not of significant portions either. Main threats will include small hail, strong wind gusts, and possible Squall line developing later in the day along and East of I-35 could pose damaging wind threat for a short time. Movement of the storms that develop will be ENE at 35-45 mph.
A 2nd smaller threat of Winter Precip is possibly in the Extreme portions of NW Oklahoma and the Oklahoma Panhandle. The Blizzard conditions will stay North of Oklahoma into Western KS as the Surface Low pulls NE before the frigid cold air arrives into our State. Snowfall totals for Guymon and surrounding areas will be a trace to 3″ locally.
Once the Cold front arrives expect much colder and windier conditions than we have had over the last 4 days. Highs will be in the 50’s before it arrives and then expect a drastic drop in temperature and wind chill effects.
We will be updating you all via keepcalmchaseon.com , Facebook page and our Twitter should any significant weather conditions arise. Thank you for following and being a part of our #OSC family. We are also continuing to monitor Severe and Tornadic outbreak possibilities for Tuesday for TN, MS, and Western AL. Stay tuned to all our Social media outlets!!